Steelers vs Browns: Expert Picks & Thursday Night Football Odds for AFC North Clash (Week 12)

Steelers vs Browns: Expert Picks & Thursday Night Football Odds for AFC North Clash (Week 12)

By Michael Davidson

November 21, 2024 at 11:04 AM

The AFC North-leading Pittsburgh Steelers (8-2) face the Cleveland Browns (2-8) on Thursday Night Football at Huntington Bank Field. Kickoff is set for 8:15 pm ET on November 21.

Football players clash during Bengals-Steelers game

Football players clash during Bengals-Steelers game

Key Betting Information:

  • Spread: Steelers -3.5 (most books)
  • Moneyline: Steelers -195, Browns +166
  • Total: 37.0 points
  • Public betting: 82% ATS handle on Steelers, 99% ML handle on Steelers

Game Analysis:

  • Pittsburgh has won five straight games
  • Cleveland has lost seven of their last eight
  • Recent history favors low-scoring games (two of last three matchups in Cleveland under 30 total points)
  • Steelers defense ranks 2nd in scoring (16.2 PPG)
  • Browns' defense ranks in top 10 per PFF

Expert Picks:

  1. Browns +4.0 (-115)
  • Strong defensive matchup
  • Divisional rivalry typically keeps games close
  • Line movement trending toward Cleveland
  1. Under 37.0 (-110)
  • Browns struggling offensively (24 points in last two games)
  • Steelers offense ranks 19th overall
  • Historical trend of low-scoring matchups
  • Both teams feature strong defenses

The combination of strong defenses, offensive limitations, and historical trends suggests a low-scoring, closely contested divisional battle. Cleveland's defense should keep them within the spread, while offensive struggles on both sides point to the under hitting.

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