Paul vs Tyson Betting Odds: Sharps Back Paul Despite Heavy Public Support for Iron Mike

Paul vs Tyson Betting Odds: Sharps Back Paul Despite Heavy Public Support for Iron Mike

By Michael Davidson

November 20, 2024 at 04:46 PM

Jake Paul faces boxing icon Mike Tyson on Friday, November 15th at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, streaming live on Netflix. The 8-round sanctioned bout features modified rules to accommodate the 31-year age gap between the fighters.

BetMGM's betting splits reveal interesting trends ahead of this unique matchup:

  • 69% of total bets favor Tyson
  • Paul receives 41% of money wagered despite only 15% of bets
  • Sharp money appears to be backing Paul
  • Public sentiment strongly supports Tyson

Jake Paul and Silva pre-fight staredown

Jake Paul and Silva pre-fight staredown

Odds Movement:

  • Tyson opened +275, shortened to +160, now at +180
  • Paul opened -275, lengthened to -200, currently -175
  • Paul's implied win probability: 64%
  • Tyson's implied win probability: 36%

Tyson training on punching bag

Tyson training on punching bag

Key Factors:

  • Modified rules: 14-ounce gloves, 2-minute rounds
  • Paul's advantages: Youth (27), recent activity, technique
  • Tyson's challenges: Age (58), inactivity since 2005
  • Public backing Tyson despite disadvantages

URL link to YouTube video thumbnail

URL link to YouTube video thumbnail

Betting Analysis:

  • Sharp money favors Paul despite public sentiment
  • Tyson's plus-money odds attractive but considered "square" play
  • Paul's youth and activity advantages significant
  • Recommendation: Consider Paul side or watch without betting

The odds movement and betting patterns reflect the unique nature of this matchup, with sharp money contradicting strong public support for the legendary Tyson.

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