Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Betting Preview: Latest Odds and Expert Prediction for Friday's Megafight

Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Betting Preview: Latest Odds and Expert Prediction for Friday's Megafight

By Michael Davidson

November 20, 2024 at 04:46 PM

Jake Paul and Mike Tyson will meet in a highly anticipated boxing match at AT&T Stadium on Friday night, streamed live on Netflix. Paul opened as a -170 favorite, but his odds have since improved to -225, while Tyson sits as a +175 underdog.

Shirtless tattooed fighter flexes muscles

Shirtless tattooed fighter flexes muscles

Paul, 27, enters with significant advantages in age, size, reach, and stamina against the 58-year-old former heavyweight champion. The YouTuber-turned-boxer has shown legitimate progress in recent years, collecting victories over former MMA champions and experienced boxers.

Tyson hasn't fought professionally since 2005 but maintains his legendary power and ring IQ. His most recent action came in a 2020 exhibition bout. To win, Tyson needs to pressure Paul early and rely on his vastly superior experience.

The smart money is on Paul to win by decision (+275). His physical advantages and superior conditioning should allow him to control distance with his jab and gradually wear down the aging legend. While Tyson remains dangerous early, Paul's youth and stamina advantages become more significant as the fight progresses.

Key betting numbers:

  • Jake Paul: -225 (69% implied probability)
  • Mike Tyson: +175 (36% implied probability)
  • Method of Victory: Paul by Decision +275
  • Over 5.5 rounds: -120

Expert Prediction: Jake Paul by decision. Expect Paul to fight cautiously early, utilize his reach advantage, and pull away in the later rounds as Tyson tires.

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