UFC 278 features a welterweight title rematch between champion Kamaru Usman (20-1) and challenger Leon Edwards (19-3) in Salt Lake City on August 20. Their first meeting in 2015 ended in a decision victory for Usman.

The betting odds heavily favor Usman at -400, while Edwards enters as a +300 underdog. Both fighters have evolved significantly since their first bout, with Usman particularly improving his striking under coach Trevor Whittman.

Fight Analysis:

• Expect a tactical first round as both fighters establish their range
• Edwards needs to prevent takedowns and keep Usman backing up
• Usman's improved striking and power pose a major threat
• The champion has multiple paths to victory through striking or wrestling
• Edwards' clinch work and elbows could be difference makers

Key Factors:

• Usman's recent hand surgery and age could impact performance
• Edwards was hurt by Nate Diaz in his last fight's fifth round
• The champion's wrestling provides a reliable backup gameplan
• Edwards lacks wins against elite-level competition like Usman

The most likely outcome appears to be an Usman victory, potentially by finish. His improved striking combined with elite wrestling creates multiple winning scenarios. While Edwards has the skills to compete, overcoming the champion's well-rounded game presents a significant challenge.

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