Toledo hosts Ohio in a crucial MAC matchup at the Glass Bowl, with both teams fighting to stay alive in the conference championship race. Both teams enter with 7-3 records, with Ohio having one conference loss and Toledo two.

The Rockets are favored by 1.5-2.5 points, with significant line movement across sportsbooks. The total sits at 44.5 points, likely influenced by forecasted gusty winds exceeding 20 mph at kickoff.

Ohio's offense ranks 2nd in MAC total yards and 3rd in scoring (27.6 ppg), led by dual-threat QB Parker Navarro (1,636 passing yards, 662 rushing yards). WR Coleman Owen leads receivers with 882 yards and 5 TDs.

Toledo features QB Tucker Gleason, the MAC leader in total yards per game (2,032 passing yards, 19 TDs). Their passing attack relies on receivers Jerjuan Newton (823 yards, 10 TDs) and Junior Vandeross III (653 yards, 4 TDs).

The Rockets hold a defensive advantage, ranking 3rd in MAC rush defense. All-MAC safety Maxen Hook anchors their secondary and leads the team in tackles.

Key Factors:

• Ohio is 1-16 all-time at the Glass Bowl
• Toledo won the last meeting 17-7 (2022 MAC Championship)
• Weather could impact passing games
• Three of last four meetings saw winner score 31+ points

Prediction: Toledo -1.5

• Strong home field advantage
• Superior defense
• Better equipped to contain Ohio's run game
• Expected final margin: Toledo by 7

The total (Over 44.5) should hit despite weather concerns, given both teams' offensive capabilities and recent scoring trends in the matchup.

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