High Point vs Purdue March Madness Odds: Boilermakers Now Just -7.5 Point Favorites
The #13 High Point Panthers (29-5) face #4 Purdue Boilermakers (22-11) in their first-ever DI NCAA Tournament appearance at Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence (March 20, 12:40 pm ET).
Current Betting Odds & Movement:
- Spread: Purdue -7.5 (opened -8.5)
- Moneyline: Purdue -345 (opened -375), High Point +270 (opened +295)
- Total: 154.5 (opened 153.5)
- Implied Win Probability: Purdue 77.53%, High Point 27.03%
Public Betting Trends:
- Spread: 66% of bets and 64% of handle on High Point
- Moneyline: Nearly even split (52% Purdue, 48% High Point)
Analytics Projections:
- KenPom: Purdue by 9
- Haslametrics: Purdue by 10
- Torvik: Purdue by 11
Recent Form:
- High Point enters with nation's second-longest active win streak (14 games)
- Purdue lost 5 of last 7 regular season games
- Boilermakers went 1-1 in Big Ten Tournament (beat USC 76-71, lost to Michigan 86-68)
Tournament Outlook:
- Final Four odds: High Point +25000, Purdue +1100
- National Championship odds: Purdue +10000 (20th favorite)
The odds movement favoring High Point likely stems from Purdue's poor recent form, despite analytics suggesting the Boilermakers should cover the spread. The Panthers' momentum and public backing have influenced the line movement, though Purdue remains a significant favorite.