Final North Carolina vs Ole Miss Odds: Tar Heels Favored After First Four Dominance

By Michael Davidson

March 28, 2025 at 04:26 PM

The #11 North Carolina Tar Heels enter as 1.5-point favorites against the #6 Ole Miss Rebels after dominating San Diego State in the First Four. The game is set for Friday at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee (4:05 pm ET).

NBA player dribbling basketball

NBA player dribbling basketball

The betting line has held steady at UNC -1.5 with -115 odds, suggesting possible movement before tip-off. On the moneyline, North Carolina sits at -125 (55.56% implied probability) while Ole Miss is at +105 as underdogs.

The total has seen significant movement, climbing three points from 152.5 to 155.5. Both teams trend slightly toward overs this season - UNC at 19-17 O/U and Ole Miss at 17-16.

Analytics sites are split on the outcome:

  • KenPom: Ole Miss by 1
  • Torvik: Ole Miss by 1
  • Haslam: UNC by 0.5

All three project a higher-scoring game than the opening total, ranging from 154.7 to 157 points.

Public betting heavily favors North Carolina:

  • 70% of moneyline handle (64% of bets)
  • 87% of spread handle (71% of bets)
  • 65% of total handle on over (65% of bets)

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