UConn vs Florida March Madness Odds: Gators Heavily Favored Against Defending Champs

By Michael Davidson

March 31, 2025 at 10:04 AM

The #1 Florida Gators (31-4) face the #8 UConn Huskies (21-10) in the NCAA Tournament's West Region second round on Sunday at 12:10 pm ET at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.

Florida player dunks during game

Florida player dunks during game

Latest Betting Odds:

  • Spread: Florida -9.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Florida -550
  • Total: 150.5-152.0 (varies by sportsbook)

First Round Recap:

  • Florida defeated #16 Norfolk State 96-69, with Walter Clayton Jr. scoring 23 points
  • UConn beat #9 Oklahoma 67-59, led by Samson Johnson's 14 points

Score Projections:

  • KenPom: Florida 82, UConn 71
  • Haslametrics: Florida 80, UConn 70
  • Torvik: Florida 80, UConn 71

Current Betting Splits:

  • Moneyline: 76% handle, 91% tickets on Florida
  • Spread: 64% handle, 64% tickets on Florida
  • Total: 57% handle, 58% tickets on Over

Key Team Rankings:

  • Florida: 2nd-4th in overall efficiency (various analytics)
  • UConn: 30th-34th in overall efficiency

Florida had covered six straight games before failing to cover as 29-point favorites in round one, while UConn covered as 5.5-point favorites despite their leading scorer struggling.

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