Expert Paul vs Tyson Props: Jake Paul Expected to Win by Decision
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson's highly anticipated exhibition bout takes place this Friday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Here's a detailed breakdown of the best prop bets and predictions.
The current odds favor Paul (-210) over the 58-year-old Tyson (+170) in this sanctioned professional bout with modified rules.
Fight Distance Props:
- Fight to go the distance: Yes (+155)
- Early finish: No (-190)
Despite Tyson's age, his legendary toughness and impressive physical condition suggest he can last the full 16 minutes. Paul's improved boxing skills, youth, and strategic approach make a distance fight likely.
Method of Victory Props:
- Jake Paul by Decision: +280 (26.3% implied probability)
- Jake Paul by Unanimous Decision: +320
Paul's advantages in youth, stamina, and technical boxing should allow him to outpoint Tyson over 8 rounds. His jab and footwork will be key in controlling distance and accumulating points.
Jake Paul with mic, pointing
Round Betting:
- Paul in Round 8: +1600 (value play for late stoppage)
- Best approach: Focus on distance and method of victory props
Key Factors:
- Paul's youth and reach advantages
- Tyson's conditioning and experience
- Modified rules benefiting Tyson
- Two-minute rounds format
- Paul's previous eight-round experience
Note: Betting unavailable in PA, Vermont & Colorado. Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook as of November 14, 2024.
Best Value Picks:
- Fight Goes the Distance - Yes (+155)
- Jake Paul by Decision (+280)
- Jake Paul by Unanimous Decision (+320)
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