USC visits UCLA at the Rose Bowl for their annual crosstown rivalry game on Saturday night at 10:30 p.m. ET. The Trojans enter as 4.5-point road favorites with a 64.3% implied win probability.

The Trojans (5-5, 3-5) bring a potent offense averaging 438.1 yards and 30.3 points per game. QB Jayden Maiava has energized the unit since taking over, throwing for 259 yards and three TDs last week. RB Woody Marks has surpassed 1,000 yards rushing, averaging nearly six yards per carry.

USC's defense remains vulnerable, allowing 364.7 yards and 22 points per game, including 232.7 passing yards.

UCLA (4-6, 3-5) has shown marked improvement, winning three of their last four games. QB Ethan Garbers has multiple TD passes in four straight games, while RB T.J. Harden is emerging as a reliable rusher. The Bruins' defense excels against the run, allowing just 100.6 yards per game.

Prediction: UCLA's stout run defense matches up well against USC's ground-focused attack. The line movement from USC -7 to -4.5 indicates sharp money on the Bruins. Models project a close game with USC winning by just 2.5 points on average.

The Pick: UCLA +4.5 (-110)

With home-field advantage and momentum, UCLA is positioned to not only cover but potentially win outright. Their elite run defense forcing USC out of their comfort zone could be the difference-maker in this rivalry matchup.

*Must be 21+. Please gamble responsibly. If you need help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Related Articles

Previous Articles