NFL Week 12: Expert & Computer Picks Target 3 Major Betting Upsets
NFL Week 12 Picks: Expert Analysis and Predictions
The NFL Week 12 schedule features 12 exciting matchups across Sunday and Monday. Here's a comprehensive analysis of the key upset picks and betting opportunities.
Recent Performance Summary:
- Last week's upset picks: 1-1 (+0.76 units)
- SBD formula: 1-0 (+1.52 units)
- Total potential profit: 3.33 units
Football player sprinting during game
Key Upset Picks for Week 12:
Bears over Vikings (+162 at Caesars)
- Bears showed improvement under new OC Thomas Brown
- Posted 391 yards against strong Packers defense
- Strong defensive performance (7th fewest points allowed)
- 17 forced turnovers this season (9 interceptions)
- Favorable matchup against Sam Darnold under pressure
Patriots over Dolphins (+310 at BetMGM)
- 40-45% win probability vs 24.4% implied odds
- Drake Maye showing increased confidence
- Dolphins' offense less explosive recently
- Only 9 pass plays of 20+ yards (Weeks 8-11)
- Potential for Maye to outperform Tua
Close Margin Predictions:
- Dolphins over Patriots by 1.8 points
- Packers over 49ers by 1 point
- Chargers over Ravens by 1.7 points
Formula Favorites:
- Cardinals over Seahawks (small underdog)
- Chargers over Ravens (Monday Night Football)
For the most current odds and best value, check the latest NFL odds before placing bets. Remember to consider both moneyline opportunities and player props for a comprehensive betting strategy.
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