Top NFL Draft 2022 Betting Tips and Value Picks
The 2022 NFL Draft presents unique betting opportunities due to its unusual quarterback landscape and uncertain top prospects. Here are the most valuable betting opportunities to consider:
Kenny Pickett First QB Selected (+125)
- Led Pitt to first 11-win season since 1989 and first outright conference title
- Posted impressive stats: 4,319 yards, 42 touchdowns (ranked 6th and 4th nationally)
- More NFL-ready than Malik Willis (-170)
- Strong candidate for Carolina Panthers at #6 pick
- Likely top-15 selection
Under 2.5 QBs in First Round (+188)
- Only Pickett and Wilson widely projected as first-round locks
- Other prospects (Howell, Ridder, Corral) likely to slide to second round
- Many QB-needy teams already addressed position through trades/free agency
- Weak quarterback class makes under bet attractive at nearly 2:1 odds
Under 1.5 Safeties in First Round (+130)
- Kyle Hamilton only consensus first-round safety
- No other safety prospects ranked in top 75
- First round expected to be heavy on offensive linemen, edge rushers, and cornerbacks
- Plus odds provide good value given lack of top-end safety talent
The draft's unique dynamics and uncertain quarterback situation create several opportunities for positive expected value bets, particularly on unders in key position categories.