UAB vs Memphis Odds, Predictions & Betting Preview: AAC Tournament Championship on the Line

UAB vs Memphis Odds, Predictions & Betting Preview: AAC Tournament Championship on the Line

By Michael Davidson

March 22, 2025 at 10:17 AM

The #16 Memphis Tigers (-3.5) face UAB Blazers in today's AAC Tournament Final at Dickies Arena, with significant implications for both teams' March Madness hopes. Tip-off is at 3:15pm ET on ESPN.

Memphis star guard Tyrese Hunter (ankle) is doubtful after suffering an injury in the semifinal, which has shifted the betting line two points toward UAB since opening. Hunter's potential absence (14 PPG, 4 APG, 40% 3PT) would force increased minutes from Baraka Okojie, who averages just 1.4 points in limited action.

Basketball player dunking in game

Basketball player dunking in game

Key Factors:

  • Memphis (28-5) has struggled recently, winning close games as 8.5-point favorites
  • UAB (22-11) ranks 34th in offensive rating and 25th in offensive efficiency since February
  • Yaxel Lendeborg leads UAB's offense with 53 points, 33 rebounds, and 12 assists in the tournament
  • UAB has won 10 of their last 13 games
  • Memphis is NCAA Tournament-bound regardless, while UAB needs this win for an automatic bid

Two men handshake agreement

Two men handshake agreement

Prediction: UAB +3.5 (-115)

  • Hunter's likely absence significantly impacts Memphis
  • UAB's superior offensive metrics and motivation edge
  • Lendeborg's dominant tournament performance
  • Memphis's recent struggles as heavy favorites
  • UAB's strong momentum and must-win situation

The combination of Hunter's injury, UAB's offensive prowess, and tournament implications make the Blazers the value play as underdogs in this championship matchup.

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