Tennessee vs Georgia Week 12 Prediction: Updated Odds, Key Injury News and Expert Analysis
No. 7 Tennessee faces No. 12 Georgia in a crucial SEC matchup with major College Football Playoff implications on Saturday, November 16 at 7:30 p.m. ET at Sanford Stadium.
Quarterback throwing football during game
The Volunteers (8-1, 5-1 SEC) look to keep their playoff hopes alive against the Bulldogs (7-2, 5-2 SEC), who are coming off a surprising loss to Ole Miss. Georgia opened as 10.5-point favorites, but the line has moved to -9.5 following sharp action.
Georgia has won seven straight meetings by an average of 26.4 points. However, Tennessee's high-powered offense (38.2 points per game) presents a unique challenge, especially if QB Nico Iamaleava is cleared to play after entering concussion protocol last week.
The key factors for this matchup:
- Iamaleava's availability is crucial for Tennessee's upset chances
- Georgia's defense ranks 5th nationally (12.6 points allowed per game)
- The Bulldogs are just 2-7 ATS as favorites this season
- Tennessee is 3-0 ATS as underdogs in 2024
Prediction: Tennessee +9.5 (-110)
Latest Odds (Caesars Sportsbook):
- Spread: Georgia -9.5
- Moneyline: Georgia -400
- Total: 48.5 points
Injury Updates:
- QB Nico Iamaleava (TEN) - Questionable (Concussion)
- LT Earnest Greene (UGA) - Questionable
- RG Xavier Truss (UGA) - Playing through injury
If Iamaleava plays, Tennessee's dynamic offense could exploit Georgia's 114th-ranked pass defense. Without him, backup Gaston Moore (42 career passes) would face an elite Bulldogs defense in a hostile environment.
The sharp line movement and Tennessee's strong underdog record make the Volunteers +9.5 the recommended play in this pivotal SEC clash.
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