Tennessee vs Georgia Week 12: Odds, Prediction & Crucial SEC Matchup

Tennessee vs Georgia Week 12: Odds, Prediction & Crucial SEC Matchup

By Michael Davidson

November 19, 2024 at 06:21 PM

Georgia welcomes Tennessee to Sanford Stadium as a 10-point home favorite in a crucial Week 12 matchup that could determine Georgia's playoff fate. The total sits at 48.5 points after opening at 53.5.

San Francisco 49ers player in red

San Francisco 49ers player in red

Key Injury Concerns:

  • Tennessee QB Nico Iamaleava (upper-body) is questionable but participated in Monday's practice
  • Georgia RB Trevor Etienne is dealing with a rib injury after leaving two straight games early

Georgia's Recent Struggles:

  • Loss to Ole Miss 28-10 last week
  • QB Carson Beck has thrown 7 interceptions in his last 3 games
  • Defense has allowed 28+ points in 3 of last 6 games
  • Ranked 19th in scoring defense nationally

Tennessee's Outlook:

  • Neck and neck with Georgia in SP+ rankings
  • Boasts the superior defense
  • Only reached 30 points once in conference play
  • Backup QB Gaston Moore limited experience (42 career passes)

Betting Analysis:

  • Georgia drawing 64% of tickets and 88% of handle
  • Line movement: Georgia -8.5 to -10
  • Total dropped significantly from 53.5 to 48.5

Prediction: Under 48.5 (-110) is the recommended play given:

  • Georgia's offensive struggles
  • Tennessee's strong defense
  • Uncertainty around Iamaleava's status
  • Both teams' scoring trends in conference play

The Pick: Under 48.5 (-110)

Both teams' current form and key injuries suggest a lower-scoring affair, regardless of Iamaleava's availability. Tennessee's defense poses the toughest test Georgia has faced this season.

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