Looking for the best Thursday Night Football prop bets for the Chargers vs. Chiefs matchup? Here are 4 data-driven betting picks with detailed analysis:

Justin Herbert Over 280.5 Passing Yards (-113)

• Herbert threw for 279 yards with 3 TDs last week vs Raiders
• Likely shootout with Mahomes means high passing volume
• Chiefs expected to lead, forcing Chargers to throw more

Chargers Total Touchdowns Over 2.5 (-154)

• High-scoring affair expected between two elite QBs
• Herbert capable of 3+ passing TDs alone
• Both teams likely to put up points in divisional clash

Total Yards of Shortest TD Over 1.5 Yards (+120)

• Bet wins if no 1-yard touchdowns occur
• Value play at plus money odds
• Watch for goal line situations

Austin Ekeler Under 38.5 Receiving Yards (-112)

• Had 36 receiving yards in Week 1
• Even with Keenan Allen out, receiving volume may be limited
• Main risk is big play on screen pass

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