Nuggets vs Warriors Betting Preview: Warriors Favored By 4 Points With Red-Hot Butler (March 17)
The Denver Nuggets (43-25) face the Golden State Warriors (29-28) at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Tip-off is set for 7:10pm PT, with ESPN broadcasting the matchup.
Curry and Butler facing off
The Warriors enter as 4-point favorites (-175 moneyline), while the Nuggets are +145 underdogs. The total is set at 236.5 points.
Golden State has been dominant since acquiring Jimmy Butler, going 14-2 with him in the lineup. The Warriors now rank second in Net rating and fifth in offense during this stretch, while their defense has improved to second-best in the league.
Key betting factors:
- Warriors have held opponents under 104 points in 7 of their last 15 games
- Steph Curry has scored 28+ points in 6 of his last 9 starts
- Nuggets have four starters on the injury report
- Denver ranks 22nd in defensive rating and is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games
Best bets for tonight:
- Warriors -4 (-115)
- Steph Curry Over 6.5 Assists (+120)
The Curry assists prop offers value despite him missing this mark in five straight games. Those games were mostly blowouts with reduced minutes. Curry recorded 11 assists in his only meeting with Denver this season, and the Nuggets allow the fourth-most assists to opposing point guards (10 per game).
The combination of Golden State's hot streak, Butler's impact, home-court advantage, and Denver's defensive struggles makes the Warriors -4 an attractive play.