Today's MLB Best Bets: Predictions for April 17 – Guardians vs Orioles, Mariners vs Reds & More

By Michael Davidson

April 24, 2025 at 06:12 AM

Three key MLB picks are on tap for April 17, backed by thorough analysis of matchups and trends.

Baseball catcher awaits incoming pitch

Baseball catcher awaits incoming pitch

Pick #1: Reds First Half Moneyline (-145) vs Mariners

  • Fade against Mariners' Emerson Hancock (4.75 ERA, 1.34 WHIP in 2024)
  • Hancock struggling early in 2025 (6 ER in 0.2 IP last start)
  • Reds' Brady Singer showing promise (3.18 ERA, 1.06 WHIP in 2025)
  • Mariners offense underperforming (3.88 RPG, -6 run differential)

Pick #2: Guardians vs Orioles First 5 Innings Under 2.5 (+300)

  • Orioles struggling offensively (.307 wOBA, .300 OBP)
  • Guardians' Tanner Bibee dominant except one bad start
  • Orioles' Tomoyuki Sugano solid (3.86 ERA) with good ground ball rate
  • Cleveland reliant on homers but ranks 22nd in runs scored

Pick #3: Angels vs Rangers Over 9.5 Runs

  • Kumar Rocker struggling (7.94 ERA, 1.94 WHIP)
  • Jack Kochanowicz showing regression (5.74 ERA in 2025)
  • Angels offense ranking 12th in runs per game
  • Both pitchers demonstrating low strikeout rates

Note: Odds and statistics accurate as of April 17, 2025. Always verify current lines before placing bets.

The picks reflect careful analysis of pitching matchups, team performance trends, and statistical indicators. Each selection offers unique value based on identified mismatches and performance patterns.

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