Guardians Look to Take Series Lead Against Struggling Red Sox: July 27 Betting Analysis

Guardians Look to Take Series Lead Against Struggling Red Sox: July 27 Betting Analysis

By Michael Davidson

December 19, 2024 at 11:09 PM

The Cleveland Guardians (49-47) face the Boston Red Sox (49-49) in game three of their four-game series at Fenway Park, with first pitch at 7:10 pm ET. After splitting the first two games, Cleveland aims to secure at least a series split.

Game Overview:

  • Moneyline: Guardians +114, Red Sox -134
  • Runline: Cleveland +1.5 (-162)
  • Over/Under: 9 runs

Pitching Matchup:

  • Guardians: Cal Quantrill (7-5, 3.75 ERA, 1.30 WHIP)

    • 67 strikeouts in 105.2 innings
    • Won last three starts
  • Red Sox: Nathan Eovaldi (4-3, 4.30 ERA, 1.23 WHIP)

    • 79 strikeouts in 75.1 innings

Key Stats:

  • Guardians sit 2.5 games behind Minnesota in AL Central
  • Red Sox are last in AL East, 17 games behind Yankees
  • Boston is 2-8 in their last 10 games

Notable Matchups:

  • Against Eovaldi:

    • Franmil Reyes: .429, 1 HR
    • Jose Ramirez and Austin Hedges: 1 HR each
  • Against Quantrill:

    • Red Sox batters: 10-for-42 collectively
    • Kevin Plawecki: 1 HR

Despite being underdogs, the Guardians have momentum with Quantrill's recent success and Boston's current struggles. The Red Sox's poor form and potential deadline moves make Cleveland a strong value pick for this matchup.

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