Expert Week 12 College Football Picks: Best Spread Bets for Saturday's Games

Expert Week 12 College Football Picks: Best Spread Bets for Saturday's Games

By Michael Davidson

November 20, 2024 at 07:46 PM

Coming off a profitable 2-1 weekend, we present three high-value picks for Week 12's college football slate. Our season record stands at 24-12 against the spread.

NFL quarterback throws football

NFL quarterback throws football

LSU (-4) at Florida

  • LSU has won and covered five straight against Florida
  • Tigers' dynamic passing attack matches up well against Florida's injured secondary
  • Florida allows 27 points per game and struggles against strong passing offenses
  • SP+ projects a 33-27 LSU victory

https://twitter.com/SECNetwork/status/1723876543219826789

Nebraska +7.5 at USC

  • Cornhuskers' defense ranks 18th nationally (19.1 PPG)
  • Nebraska has covered 10 of last 12 as underdogs vs non-ranked teams
  • USC is 4-8 in one-score games since last season
  • Line movement from +9.5 to +7.5 indicates sharp action

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RmK_Q8hxzFc

Utah +11.5 at Colorado

  • Utah's defense ranks 9th in SP+ and 29th in scoring defense (17.3 PPG)
  • Utes excel against pass-heavy offenses (ranks 18th in passing yards allowed)
  • SP+ projects only a 3.4-point margin
  • Utah has kept four of last five losses within one possession

https://twitter.com/CFBONFOX/status/1725965431278977024

These picks leverage key defensive matchups, historical trends, and current team dynamics to identify value opportunities in the betting market.

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