The Atlanta Braves (47-26, 23-11 away) face the Philadelphia Phillies (38-35, 19-12 home) in a crucial NL East matchup on Thursday, June 22nd at 1:05 pm ET.

The Braves enter as slight -115 favorites with the over/under set at nine runs. Weather could be a factor, with a 68% chance of rain during the game.

Pitching Matchup

Bryce Elder (5-1, 2.60 ERA) takes the mound for Atlanta. The sophomore pitcher ranks second in the National League in ERA and boasts an impressive 3-0 record with a 1.76 ERA on the road. This will be his first career start against Philadelphia.

Aaron Nola starts for the Phillies, bringing significant experience against Atlanta with a 15-10 record and 3.51 ERA in 31 career starts. However, he's struggled recently, allowing seven home runs in his last five starts.

Key Factors

• Braves lead MLB in team OPS and home runs
• Atlanta is 18-6 against division opponents this season
• Phillies perform well in day games (21-12) compared to night games (17-23)
• Philadelphia is 2-3 against Atlanta this year
• Both teams entered the series on six-game win streaks before Atlanta won Tuesday's opener

Best Bet: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline (-105)

Despite Elder's strong season, his recent 5.19 ERA in June raises concerns. Combined with Philadelphia's strong daytime record and home-field advantage, the Phillies offer value as slight underdogs. Weather conditions may also favor the home team's familiarity with their ballpark.

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