Analyst: Sweepstakes Casino Industry Set for Growth Despite Increasing Regulatory Oversight
Sweepstakes casinos represent a rapidly growing segment of the gaming industry, generating $4 billion in revenue while operating in a regulatory grey area between social casinos and traditional iGaming platforms.
Casino chips vs laptop screen
According to Macquarie analyst Aaron Lee, the sector achieved a 75% compound annual growth rate from 2019 through 2023. Rather than cannibalizing traditional iGaming markets, Lee suggests sweepstakes casinos could actually promote iGaming legislation by highlighting untapped tax revenue potential.
The business model operates by removing the "consideration" element of gambling, offering free-to-play games with potential prizes. Players can use virtual currency for wagering and potentially redeem winnings for cash prizes. While purchases aren't required, many users spend money on in-app purchases to improve their chances of winning.
Key Industry Insights:
- Current market size: $4.2 billion (2023)
- Net revenue: $1.3 billion (2023)
- Projected growth: $5.6 billion gross revenue by 2024 (30% YoY)
- Expected 2025 revenue: $6.9 billion gross ($2.1 billion net)
Regulatory Concerns:
- The American Gaming Association advocates for increased scrutiny of dual-currency systems
- Four states completely prohibit sweepstakes casinos
- Seven additional states maintain partial restrictions
- Enforcement challenges exist as most operators are based outside the US
The industry faces growing regulatory scrutiny due to concerns about its similarity to traditional gambling. While operators maintain their model is distinct from conventional betting, regulators increasingly view it as potential iGaming in disguise, suggesting tighter oversight may be forthcoming.