The Tampa Bay Lightning and Montreal Canadiens face off in the 2021 Stanley Cup Finals, with both teams just four wins away from hoisting the cup. Here's a comprehensive analysis of the matchup:

Team Offense: Tampa Bay Advantage

• Lightning lead playoffs with 3.22 goals per game (Montreal: 2.53)
• Superior power play (37.7% vs 20.9%)
• Brayden Point leads playoffs with 14 goals
• Nikita Kucherov tops with 27 points (5 goals, 22 assists)
• Eight different Lightning players have game-winning goals

Team Defense: Montreal Advantage

• 30 consecutive successful penalty kills
• Four shorthanded goals scored (only three power play goals allowed)
• Strong defensive core with Weber, Chiarot, Petry, and Merill
• Excellent at limiting deflections and screens
• Tampa features Victor Hedman, Ryan McDonagh, and David Savard

Goaltending: Tampa Bay Slight Edge

• Andrei Vasilevskiy: .936 save %, 1.99 GAA, 4 shutouts
• Carey Price: .934 save %, 2.04 GAA, 1 shutout
• Vasilevskiy leads in goals saved above expected (7.3 vs 4.04)
• Better high-danger save percentage (.896 vs .878)

Series Odds: Tampa Bay to Win Series: -250 Montreal to Win Series: +210

Specific Series Outcomes: Tampa Bay:

• 4-0: +550
• 4-1: +365
• 4-2: +415
• 4-3: +450

Montreal:

• 4-0: +2200
• 4-1: +1150
• 4-2: +725
• 4-3: +750

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