MLB All-Star Game 2021: Home Run Derby Odds, Top Contenders and Expert Predictions

MLB All-Star Game 2021: Home Run Derby Odds, Top Contenders and Expert Predictions

By Michael Davidson

December 22, 2024 at 12:39 AM

The MLB Home Run Derby kicks off at 8:00 PM ET at Coors Field. Here's a comprehensive breakdown of the odds, favorites, and best betting opportunities for this exciting event.

Participant Odds:

  • Shohei Ohtani (+260)
  • Joey Gallo (+420)
  • Pete Alonso (+450)
  • Matt Olson (+500)
  • Trevor Story (+750)
  • Juan Soto (+800)
  • Salvador Perez (+1500)
  • Trey Mancini (+1800)

Top Contenders Analysis:

Shohei Ohtani (Favorite, +260)

  • League leader with 33 home runs in 2021
  • One of only six players to hit upper-deck homer at T-Mobile Park
  • Potential concern: Fatigue from pitching and hitting duties
  • Value bet: $100 could return $360

Pete Alonso (Defending Champion, +450)

  • Won 2019 Derby with 57 home runs (4th highest in derby history)
  • Proven stamina and experience
  • Strong value at these odds
  • Explicitly committed to defending his title

Trevor Story (Hometown Pick, +750)

  • Home field advantage at Coors Field
  • Strong power numbers
  • Intimate knowledge of park conditions
  • Solid dark horse candidate

Value Pick: Trey Mancini (+1800) offers interesting long-shot value after his inspirational return from beating Stage III colon cancer. While not likely to win, the odds provide excellent value for a small stake.

Best Bet: Pete Alonso at +450 combines proven derby success, demonstrated stamina, and attractive odds for the defending champion.

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