Essential Guide: 3 Keys to Winning NFL Bets in 2021

Essential Guide: 3 Keys to Winning NFL Bets in 2021

By Michael Davidson

January 13, 2025 at 05:06 AM

The NFL's 2021 season brings an extra game, making smart betting strategy more crucial than ever. Here are three essential keys to successful NFL betting in 2021:

Research Early Season Changes

  • Track roster changes and new coaching staff
  • Study how team dynamics shifted from previous season
  • Use analytics sites like FootballOutsiders and Pro Football Focus for baseline data
  • Allow 2-3 weeks for accurate assessment of team performance

Monitor Betting Trends

  • Track which teams consistently cover spreads
  • Identify if teams are undervalued underdogs or dominant favorites
  • Look for teams performing well against over/unders
  • Focus on high-scoring offenses matched against weak defenses

Analyze Team Fundamentals

  • Study defensive performance metrics
  • Evaluate offensive line quality through:
    • Pass-blocking grades
    • Run-blocking efficiency
    • Sacks and pressures allowed
  • Target matchups between strong offenses and weak defenses
  • Consider player prop bets in favorable matchups
  • Pay special attention to teams with strong lines on both sides

Successful NFL betting requires combining these three elements: thorough early-season research, trend analysis, and fundamental team evaluation. Focus particularly on line play and defensive performance, as these often determine game outcomes.

Remember: Defense wins championships, and games are won in the trenches. Use these principles to guide your betting decisions throughout the season.

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