Week 11's college football action features three crucial matchups that could impact the College Football Playoff race. Here are the best betting picks for Saturday's games:

Michigan Wolverines -1.5 at Penn State Nittany Lions

• Michigan's dominant rushing attack (234+ yards/game) should overpower Penn State's defense
• Both teams allow under 17 points per game, but Michigan's offense is more explosive
• Michigan likely wins by at least 7 points
• Pick: Michigan -1.5

Purdue Boilermakers +21.5 at Ohio State Buckeyes

• Purdue's strong defense (18 points allowed/game) can keep it competitive
• Ohio State has shown some vulnerability in recent weeks
• Buckeyes should win but won't cover the large spread
• Pick: Purdue +21.5

Notre Dame Fighting Irish -5.5 at Virginia Cavaliers

• Virginia's weak run defense faces Notre Dame RB Kyren Williams
• Fighting Irish defense will contain Virginia's 38 PPG offense
• Notre Dame needs win to stay in CFP conversation
• Pick: Notre Dame -5.5

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