#20 Clemson faces Pitt in a crucial ACC matchup on Saturday, November 16, with the Tigers installed as 11.5-point road favorites. The total sits at 52.5 points after opening at 56.5.

Clemson (7-2, 6-1 ACC) enters the game riding high after bouncing back from their Louisville loss with a dominant win at Virginia Tech. The Tigers' offense, averaging 37.7 points per game, is led by quarterback Cade Klubnik (24 TDs, 4 INTs) and running back Phil Mafah, who's rushed for 100+ yards in four of his last five games.

The Tigers' defense has been equally impressive, ranking 12th nationally in third-down conversion rate and averaging 6.71 tackles for loss in ACC games. Their last performance saw them hold Virginia Tech to just 40 rushing yards and under 200 passing yards.

Pitt (7-2) has stumbled recently after a 7-0 start, losing consecutive games to SMU and Virginia. The Panthers' offense has struggled, converting just 24% of third downs over their last four games. Starting quarterback Eli Holstein remains a game-time decision.

The Panthers' defense remains a bright spot, ranking 18th nationally in EPA/rush and averaging over 8 tackles for loss in ACC play. However, their recent offensive woes make covering the spread challenging.

Prediction: Clemson's balanced offense and dominant defense should control this game. The Tigers have outgained every opponent except Georgia this season, and Pitt's third-down struggles will likely continue against Clemson's stout defense. Take Clemson -11.5 (-110).

Phil Mafah went for 128 yards on 26 carries in the win against Virginia Tech, his sixth 100+ yard rushing game of the season.

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